An AI engine able to extrapolate a +12 hours energy price forecast
Client
Confidential
Industry
Trading
Year
2018
Case Study
An Italian Energy Trader approached us to model the oscillations of the energy price.
Result
We implemented and trained a Recurrent Convolutional Neural Network for a notable Italian Energy Trading company to forecast the sign of the oscillation of the price of energy on the market with 70% accuracy. The training has been performed with few hundreds of data points.
Our models were able to extrapolate a +12 and +24 hours energy price forecast.
Milestones
1) Dataset integration (energy price, weather forecast, calendar)
2) Model selection: we implemented and tested several models in order to identify the one realizing the ideal trade-off between accuracy, computational complexity, and interpretability.
3) We fine-tuned the initial implementation to be modular and easily adaptable to different applications by a reasonably skilled programmer. The code is hosted on a repository along with its documentation, tests, and examples.
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