An AI engine able to extrapolate a +12 hours energy price forecast

Client

Confidential

Industry

Trading

Year

2018

Case Study 

An Italian Energy Trader approached us to model the oscillations of the energy price.

Result

We implemented and trained a Recurrent Convolutional Neural Network for a notable Italian Energy Trading company to forecast the sign of the oscillation of the price of energy on the market with 70% accuracy. The training has been performed with few hundreds of data points.

Our models were able to extrapolate a +12 and +24 hours energy price forecast.

Milestones

1) Dataset integration (energy price, weather forecast, calendar)
2) Model selection: we implemented and tested several models in order to identify the one realizing the ideal trade-off between accuracy, computational complexity, and interpretability.
3) We fine-tuned the initial implementation to be modular and easily adaptable to different applications by a reasonably skilled programmer. The code is hosted on a repository along with its documentation, tests, and examples.

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